As the Premier League heads into another thrilling weekend, all eyes turn to the Vitality Stadium where Bournemouth will host Manchester United. With a potential European spot still within reach, the Cherries are hoping to heap more pressure on Ruben Amorim’s struggling United side.
Key Stats and Insights
Our supercomputer gives Bournemouth a 54.9% chance of claiming all three points on Sunday.
– Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last three Premier League meetings with United (W2 D1).
– Manchester United have failed to score in 13 league matches this season – their most since the 1989-90 campaign (16).
Bournemouth’s European Ambitions:
Still in the mix for European qualification, Bournemouth will see Sunday’s clash as another opportunity to solidify their standing. Their goalless draw with Crystal Palace last weekend took them to 49 points – the club’s highest-ever Premier League tally, surpassing the 48 they reached in 2023-24.
If they manage to avoid defeat against United, Bournemouth will become just the 40th team in Premier League history to achieve a 50-point season. The last side to hit that mark for the first time was Brentford in 2022-23 (59 points).
The Cherries have tightened up defensively in recent weeks and are chasing a third straight clean sheet – something they haven’t done in the top flight since November 2019, when they also shut out United in a 1-0 home win.
After a commanding 3-0 victory at Old Trafford in December, Andoni Iraola’s men will be aiming to complete a league double over United. If successful, they’d become the sixth team this season to do so – something not seen since 1933-34, and not matched in the top tier since 1930-31..
United’s Woes Continue:
Ruben Amorim’s Manchester United side is enduring a nightmare league campaign. Last weekend’s 1-0 defeat to Wolves marked their 15th Premier League loss of the season – the most they’ve ever suffered in one campaign.
Their lack of cutting edge was evident again: 12 shots, only 2 on target. United have now blanked in 13 league games, with only Leicester (15) and Everton (14) doing so more often this term. You have to go back to 1989-90 for the last time United failed to score in more matches (16).
Yet there’s a silver lining. The Red Devils have a Europa League semi-final against Athletic Club on the horizon, which may influence Amorim’s team selection. With their Premier League position stagnant at 14th, rotation seems likely.
Still, Bruno Fernandes is expected to feature. He remains one of the most creative forces in the league, producing 77 chances – just one behind league leader Cole Palmer (78)– and providing nine assists in 2024-25.
Head-to-Head Record
Recent meetings have favored Bournemouth, who are unbeaten in their last three against United and have matched their total points from their first 12 league games against them in just the last three encounters (7 points from W2 D1).
United have conceded eight goals in those three matches, equaling the number they allowed in the previous 11 games against Bournemouth combined.
Match Prediction
According to Opta, Bournemouth are in the driver’s seat with a 54.9% probability of victory. United’s odds of winning are at just 22.6%, with a 22.5% chance of a draw.
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