As the curtain prepares to fall on the 2024–25 Premier League season, most of the key narratives have played out—but a handful of teams still have everything to fight for this weekend.
Liverpool clinched the title weeks ago. Southampton, Leicester, and Ipswich have already packed their bags for the Championship. But the battle for European spots is alive and roaring. From Champions League contention to the fight for the final Conference League ticket, Sunday’s matches promise high drama.
Let’s break down what each contender needs and what the supercompeter projectsgoing into the decisive weekend.
Current Standings: After Matchday 37
Manchester City
Opponent: Fulham (A):UCL Qualification Chance: 96.9%
City entered this season eyeing a fifth straight title, but Pep Guardiola’s squad have faltered by their standards. They’re currently third and can guarantee Champions League football with a draw at Fulham—unless Villa pull off a surreal 17-goal win over Manchester United. Even if City fall to sixth, they’ll still secure a place in the Europa League.
Newcastle United
Opponent; Everton (H)
UCL Qualification Chance:82.7%
The Magpies already have a League Cup to show for their season, along with a guaranteed Conference League slot. But they’re aiming higher. A win over Everton should seal a top-five finish—unless Aston Villa produce a ridiculous result. A draw throws them into a waiting game, needing help from Man United or Nottingham Forest.
Chelsea
Opponent: Nottingham Forest (A)
UCL Qualification Chance:57.4%
Chelsea’s title dreams faded by January, but UCL qualification would still mark serious progress. A win away at Forest likely does the job—unless Villa deliver a freakish thrashing. A draw or loss makes things messier, and would require Newcastle or Villa to slip. Failure to reach the top five means they fall back on either the Conference League or, if they win the current final, the Europa League.
Aston Villa
Opponent: Manchester United (A)
UCL Qualification Chance: 42.6%
Unai Emery’s men are level on points with Newcastle and Chelsea but trail on goal difference. Their trip to Old Trafford looks less daunting than usual—United are limping toward the finish line. A win gives Villa real hope, especially if other contenders drop points. A draw would only be enough if Newcastle lose. A loss ends the dream.
Nottingham Forest
Opponent: Chelsea (H)
LUCL Qualification Chance: 20.4%*
Forest have surprised many, staying in the top five for large parts of the season. Their home game against Chelsea is do-or-die: only a win gives them any real shot. Even then, they need slip-ups from Villa or Newcastle, or a monumental collapse by City.
Who Will Snatch Eighth?
Should Chelsea win the European final but miss the top five, eighth place will earn a Conference League ticket. That leaves Brighton and Brentford in a two-horse race.
Brighton
Opponent:Tottenham (A)
*LEighth-Place Chance:90.3%
Fabian Hürzeler’s side are in control. Their comeback win over Liverpool on Monday gave them a three-point cushion. A draw at Spurs seals eighth. A loss leaves them relying on Wolves to hold off Brentford.
Brentford
Opponent: Wolves (A)
Eighth-Place Chance:9.7%
The Bees blew a 2-1 lead to lose to Fulham last time out and are now chasing the game. They need to beat Wolves and hope Spurs beat Brighton. Goal difference favors Brentford, but only if they get the points.
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Final Day Fixtures
Bournemouth vs Leicester City
Fulham vs Manchester City
Ipswich Town vs West Ham United
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace
Manchester United vs Aston Villa
Newcastle United vs Everton
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea
Southampton vs Arsenal
Tottenham vs Brighton
Wolves vs Brentford
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