Chelsea return to Stamford Bridge on Saturday under pressure to rediscover winning form as they host an in-form Everton side enjoying a strong run on the road.
Match Overview-
The Blues have gone four games across all competitions without a victory, while Everton arrive in west London full of confidence after an impressive sequence of results. With just a point separating the two teams in the league standings, this fixture could have a major say in the race for the European places.
Key Numbers to Know
The Opta supercomputer gives Chelsea a 56.8% chance of victory, with Everton rated outsiders.
LEverton have won four of their last five Premier League matches, keeping a clean sheet in every win.
Since David Moyes returned to the dugout in January, only Manchester City, Arsenal and Chelsea have recorded more top-flight wins without conceding than Everton.
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall has found the net three times in his last four games, matching his total from his previous 62 league appearances combined.
Chelsea’s Situation:
Enzo Maresca’s men are searching for momentum after letting a lead slip in a midweek Champions League loss to Atalanta. That defeat extended a frustrating domestic spell that has seen Chelsea go three league games without a win and slide to fifth place.
Despite earning a gritty draw against Arsenal while down to ten men following Moisés Caicedo’s red card, Chelsea failed to build on it, losing to Leeds United before playing out a goalless draw away at Bournemouth. The Caicedo suspension continues to bite, and inconsistency has crept into their performances.
Maresca has responded by rotating heavily. He has made four or more changes in each of the last four matches, bringing his total number of starting XI alterations this season to 46 — already more than at the same point last term.
A major concern remains Chelsea’s inability to protect leads at home. No Premier League side has dropped more points from winning positions on their own turf this season.
Everton’s Growing Confidence:
Everton’s away record suggests Chelsea will face a stern test. The Toffees have claimed back-to-back away wins, beating Manchester United and Bournemouth 1-0, showing resilience and discipline on the road.
Their current run is their best away sequence since late 2023, and another victory without conceding would mark their strongest defensive away stretch since 2008.
Dewsbury-Hall has been a standout performer, while Thierno Barry finally opened his Everton account last time out and is expected to lead the attack again. Idrissa Gueye returns from suspension, and Tim Iroegbunam is also back in contention.
Team News
Chelsea remain without Liam Delap due to a shoulder problem. However, Trevoh Chalobah, Wesley Fofana and Enzo Fernández are all expected to be fit despite picking up knocks in midweek. Fofana, who suffered an eye injury, is likely to be available.
Head-to-Head Record
History strongly favours Chelsea at Stamford Bridge. The Blues are unbeaten in their last 30 home league matches against Everton, winning 17 of them — their longest such run against any opponent.
The last two meetings at the Bridge ended in Chelsea victories, including a 6-0 rout in 2024 and a narrow 1-0 success earlier this year. David Moyes has never won an away Premier League game against Chelsea, drawing seven and losing 13 of his 20 attempts.
Everton have also traditionally struggled to score against the Blues. Another blank here would see Chelsea become one of the teams Everton have failed to score against most often in Premier League history.
Prediction
According to Opta’s simulations, Chelsea avoid defeat in nearly 80% of scenarios. A home win appears the most likely outcome, though Everton’s defensive solidity suggests it will not be straightforward.
Chelsea win: 56.8%
Draw: 22.4%
Everton win:20.8%
Predicted Line-ups
Chelsea:
Robert Sánchez; Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella; Reece James, Enzo Fernández; Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Alejandro Garnacho; João Pedro.
*Head coach: Enzo Maresca*
Everton:
Jordan Pickford; Jake O’Brien, Michael Keane, James Tarkowski, Vitalii Mykolenko; James Garner, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall; Iliman Ndiaye, Charly Alcaraz, Jack Grealish; Thierno Barry.
*Head coach: David Moyes*
Chelsea’s home dominance offers reassurance, but Everton’s current form ensures this will be a tight and telling contest for both sides.
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