Tottenham Hotspur will look to end a difficult start to the Premier League season when they host Everton on Saturday, with Roberto De Zerbi’s side still searching for both their first league victory and their opening goal of the campaign.
Despite spending more than £300 million during the summer transfer window, Spurs have taken just one point from their opening three league fixtures. Everton, meanwhile, remain unbeaten in the Premier League under David Moyes and arrive in north London with renewed confidence after scoring late goals in each of their last two matches.
According to the Opta supercomputer, Tottenham have a 48.2% chance of claiming their first league win of the season. Everton’s probability of victory stands at 27.1%, while the likelihood of a draw is 24.7%.
Tottenham’s Search for a First League Goal
Tottenham’s struggles in front of goal continued last weekend when they drew 0-0 away to Nottingham Forest. Spurs failed to register a shot on target, marking the first time they had failed to hit the target in a Premier League match since April 2022.
The result left De Zerbi’s team with only one point from their first three league games and positioned them near the bottom of the table. Their only victory so far came in the EFL Cup, where they defeated Charlton Athletic 5-0.
Spurs are one of just three Premier League teams yet to score this season, alongside Aston Villa and Coventry City. Historically, Tottenham have always found the net in at least one of their opening four league matches of a campaign, meaning another blank against Everton would represent an unwanted milestone.
The club’s last four-match run without a goal in the top flight came two decades ago. That sequence included a 2-0 home defeat against Everton.
De Zerbi has asked supporters and the club hierarchy for patience as he attempts to integrate a heavily reshaped squad. Summer arrivals Sandro Tonali, Jan Paul van Hecke, Omar Marmoush and Sávio all started against Forest, but the team’s familiar attacking problems remained evident.
The Italian coach will hope that a return to home soil can provide a solution. Tottenham’s only win and clean sheet in their last 12 Premier League home matches came against Everton on the final day of the 2025-26 season. Across the other 11 games, Spurs recorded four draws and seven defeats.
Everton Arrive Unbeaten Despite Deadline-Day Chaos
David Moyes will be hoping to repeat a result from August 2006, when he guided Everton to victory at White Hart Lane. This time, he will attempt to secure another away win at Tottenham’s modern stadium.
Everton’s transfer deadline day was chaotic, but the club have made a positive start on the pitch. They remain unbeaten in the Premier League and have also progressed to the third round of the EFL Cup.
The Toffees have scored nine goals in the league so far, with two stoppage-time strikes helping them secure points in their last two fixtures.
Their latest goal came against Manchester United at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Ainsley Maitland-Niles found the net at 95 minutes and 11 seconds, rescuing a point for Everton with a spectacular finish.
Maitland-Niles joined the club from Lyon for a relatively modest fee and made an immediate impact. Before his Everton debut, he had scored in only one of his previous 109 Premier League appearances. His strike also made him the first Everton player to score on his Premier League debut since Richarlison in August 2018.
However, Everton’s away form remains a concern. Moyes’ side have failed to win any of their last six away matches in the top flight. They also lost both league meetings with Tottenham last season, going down 3-0 in the reverse fixture before suffering a 1-0 defeat in north London.
Everton’s squad remains thin, so Moyes is expected to name a similar starting XI to the one that performed strongly against Manchester United. Jack Grealish could once again begin on the bench.
There are some fitness concerns, although Christian Nørgaard is currently the only player confirmed to be unavailable through injury.
Tottenham Team News and Expected Lineup
De Zerbi has already rotated his squad heavily as he attempts to find the right balance. Tottenham have made eight changes to their starting XI across their first three league matches—the most of any Premier League club and joint-most at this stage of any Spurs Premier League campaign, matching the figure from 2011-12.
Richarlison has been frozen out following his cameo role during Everton’s transfer chaos, while James Maddison remains a doubt for Saturday’s match.
Mykhailo Mudryk is also reportedly expected to miss the game and could remain sidelined until after the upcoming three-week international break because of an ankle injury sustained in training.
Mudryk’s absence could give Mathys Tel another opportunity on the wing. Tel has completed more dribbles than any other player in the Premier League this season, with 10 successful attempts so far.
Predicted Tottenham XI
Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Antonín Kinsky
- Defenders: Pedro Porro, Jan Paul van Hecke, Micky van de Ven, Andy Robertson
- Midfielders: Rodrigo Bentancur, Sandro Tonali
- Attacking midfielders: Sávio, Conor Gallagher, Mathys Tel
- Forward: Omar Marmoush
- Head coach: Roberto De Zerbi
Everton Team News and Expected Lineup
Moyes is likely to rely on the same core group that helped Everton earn a point against Manchester United. With limited depth available, continuity could be particularly important as the Toffees seek to maintain their unbeaten start.
Predicted Everton XI
Formation: 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Jordan Pickford
- Defenders: Merlin Röhl, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitaliy Mykolenko
- Midfielders: Harrison Armstrong, James Garner
- Attacking midfielders: Brennan Johnson, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Tyrique George
- Forward: Thierno Barry
- Head coach: David Moyes
Tottenham vs Everton: Head-to-Head Record
Everton have endured a difficult record in recent visits to Tottenham. They have won only one of their last 17 top-flight away matches against Spurs, drawing four and losing 12 of the other 16 fixtures.
Tottenham have won each of the last five meetings at home, with their most recent victory coming in September 2020.
The London club also won both encounters between the sides last season. They triumphed 3-0 at Everton before recording a 1-0 home victory on the final day of the campaign. João Palhinha scored the decisive goal in the 43rd minute, a result that helped Spurs secure their Premier League survival. Everton finished 13th for the second consecutive season.
Despite that recent dominance, Tottenham have never defeated Everton three times in succession without conceding a goal.
Everton’s only victory in the last 11 meetings between the clubs came in January 2025, when they won 3-2 at Goodison Park.
Opta Prediction
The Opta supercomputer has simulated the fixture 10,000 times. Tottenham emerged victorious in 48.2% of those simulations, giving them the strongest individual outcome probability.
Everton won in 27.1% of simulations, while 24.7% ended in a draw.
Match probabilities
|
Outcome
|
Probability
|
| — | — |
|
Tottenham win
|
48.2%
|
|
Draw
|
24.7%
|
|
Everton win
|
27.1%
|
Tottenham’s home advantage and Everton’s poor recent away record make Spurs the statistical favourites. However, Everton’s unbeaten start, greater attacking output and Tottenham’s continuing inability to score mean the contest could be far more competitive than the league table suggests.
Opta Power Rankings
Opta’s Power Rankings system evaluates more than 13,000 domestic football teams worldwide. Each club receives an ability score between 0 and 100, with 0 representing the weakest possible rating and 100 representing the strongest.
The system can be used to compare Tottenham and Everton’s relative strength, although the supplied preview does not provide their specific Power Rankings scores.
Other Results and Fixtures
Results — September 10
|
Competition
|
Fixture
|
Result
|
| — | — | — |
|
UEFA Champions League
|
PSV vs Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1-1
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Fenerbahçe vs Roma
|
1-1
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Bayern München vs Bodø/Glimt
|
Bayern München 5-0 Bodø/Glimt
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Manchester United vs Sabah
|
Manchester United 4-0 Sabah
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Como vs RB Leipzig
|
Como 4-1 RB Leipzig
|
|
UEFA Champions League
|
Slavia Praha vs Lens
|
Slavia Praha 2-3 Lens
|
Upcoming fixtures — September 12
|
Fixture
|
Kick-off
|
Home win
|
Draw
|
Away win
|
| — | — | — | — | — |
|
Bournemouth vs Brentford
|
3:00 PM
|
39.4%
|
25.0%
|
35.7%
|
|
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
|
3:00 PM
|
44.0%
|
26.0%
|
30.0%
|
|
Chelsea vs Hull City
|
3:00 PM
|
76.1%
|
14.4%
|
9.5%
|
|
Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town
|
3:00 PM
|
51.1%
|
23.5%
|
25.3%
|
|
Liverpool vs Fulham
|
3:00 PM
|
64.1%
|
18.5%
|
17.4%
|
|
Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton
|
5:30 PM
|
48.2%
|
24.7%
|
27.1%
|
|
Sunderland vs Arsenal
|
8:00 PM
|
13.8%
|
22.3%
|
63.9%
|
Prediction: Tottenham are favoured to win, but Everton’s resilience and Tottenham’s goal drought could make this a tense, low-scoring encounter.
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